Major Changes Currently Shaking Up the Physical Silver Market
- A 5 to 6 month backlog of scrap silver waiting to be refined has built up at silver refineries around the country and the refineries have stopped allowing any further incoming shipments for the foreseeable future. This is causing almost all of America's largest wholesale dealers to HALT purchases of many categories of silver items. This suspension of purchasing affects categories like sterling silver flatware & tableware, scrap silver jewelry, US Wartime Nickels, 40% Silver Clad Halves, Foreign silver coins, industrial silver scrap and in some cases, pre-1965 US 90% Silver coins. This suspension of buying scrap silver by the major dealers, along with increasing processing & payment times, has trickled down to severely affect small and medium size silver dealers. We are doing our best to continue normal buying operations, but we are definitely being affected by the wide price gap in the Silver Spot price, (see next section).
- Silver Price Backwardation. Normally, Silver Futures contracts trade at a premium to the live delivery, Spot, Market. As I type this, December Futures contracts on Silver are trading at a couple dollar DISCOUNT to the current Spot Market price. This is quite unusual, rarely happens, and is causing a much larger than usual spread between the BID Spot and the ASK Spot. This large, (multi-dollar), spread in the Spot price is causing confusion and unhappiness in people who are trying to sell their physical silver and getting buy quotes that are several dollars below what they thought the current Spot price was.
- Exceptionally high lease rates on Silver bars in London, along with potential tariff questions, have caused a shortage in physical silver bars in London. This is being exasperated by heaving buying of ETF's that are (hopefully) putting physical silver in vaults to back their paper silver.
So basically, both sides of the silver equation are being squeezed.
For further reading, see this notice posted by one of the US Mint's primary distributors to all its wholesale customers today. Their bottom line: "we cannot buy what we cannot sell".